Week 2 charts
Each week Gridiron AI charts the NFL from its models and public data: playoff odds, its numbers against the betting line, where the betting money went, fantasy projections against what players scored, and more.
Playoff race
Standings · Fri, Sep 25
The playoff race after Week 2, from 10,000 simulations of the season:
Climbing: CIN 45% → 76%, SF 44% → 73%, KC 52% → 80%
Falling: LAC 48% → 18%, ATL 32% → 11%
Biggest Week 2 swing: CHI, down 22 points.
| Team | Conf | Record | Playoffs | Division | Since preseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | AFC | 2-0 | 86% | 62% | +15 pts |
| SEA | NFC | 2-0 | 85% | 51% | +5 pts |
| KC | AFC | 2-0 | 80% | 58% | +28 pts |
| PHI | NFC | 2-0 | 79% | 69% | +16 pts |
| CIN | AFC | 2-0 | 76% | 45% | +31 pts |
| SF | NFC | 2-0 | 73% | 30% | +29 pts |
| NE | AFC | 1-1 | 70% | 34% | +1 pts |
| MIN | NFC | 2-0 | 70% | 42% | +20 pts |
| BAL | AFC | 1-1 | 69% | 37% | +3 pts |
| JAX | AFC | 1-1 | 67% | 52% | +2 pts |
| LA | NFC | 1-1 | 60% | 17% | −7 pts |
| DET | NFC | 1-1 | 56% | 28% | −11 pts |
| DEN | AFC | 1-1 | 55% | 25% | +0 pts |
| HOU | AFC | 0-2 | 46% | 30% | −14 pts |
| NO | NFC | 1-1 | 43% | 36% | +6 pts |
| CHI | NFC | 1-1 | 43% | 17% | −3 pts |
| CAR | NFC | 1-1 | 39% | 32% | +12 pts |
| GB | NFC | 1-1 | 35% | 13% | −11 pts |
| PIT | AFC | 1-1 | 34% | 12% | −14 pts |
| TB | NFC | 0-2 | 31% | 24% | −9 pts |
| DAL | NFC | 1-1 | 30% | 16% | −9 pts |
| LV | AFC | 2-0 | 28% | 10% | +11 pts |
| IND | AFC | 0-2 | 26% | 14% | −14 pts |
| NYG | NFC | 1-1 | 22% | 12% | −2 pts |
| CLE | AFC | 1-1 | 19% | 6% | −6 pts |
| LAC | AFC | 0-2 | 18% | 6% | −30 pts |
| NYJ | AFC | 1-1 | 15% | 3% | +6 pts |
| ARI | NFC | 1-1 | 13% | 2% | +2 pts |
| WAS | NFC | 0-2 | 11% | 4% | −16 pts |
| ATL | NFC | 0-2 | 11% | 8% | −21 pts |
| TEN | AFC | 0-2 | 7% | 3% | −5 pts |
| MIA | AFC | 0-2 | 4% | 1% | −13 pts |
Trench watch
Trenches · Sat, Sep 19
Trench watch, Week 2: the biggest pass-rush mismatches (sacks + QB hits per dropback, league percentile).
BUF rush (94) vs DET protection (10)
KC rush (90) vs IND protection (13)
LV rush (77) vs LAC protection (19)
TB rush (39) vs CLE protection (0)
| Defense | Pass rush pctl | Offense | Protection pctl | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 94 | DET | 10 | +84 | Rush wins |
| KC | 90 | IND | 13 | +77 | Rush wins |
| LV | 77 | LAC | 19 | +58 | Rush wins |
| TB | 39 | CLE | 0 | +39 | Rush wins |
| LA | 48 | NYG | 16 | +32 | Rush wins |
| DEN | 97 | JAX | 71 | +26 | Rush wins |
| SEA | 58 | ARI | 35 | +23 | |
| PIT | 74 | NE | 55 | +19 | |
| JAX | 81 | DEN | 65 | +16 | |
| GB | 65 | NYJ | 52 | +13 | |
| NO | 61 | BAL | 48 | +13 | |
| BAL | 84 | NO | 74 | +10 | |
| NYG | 32 | LA | 26 | +6 | |
| CHI | 13 | MIN | 6 | +6 | |
| LAC | 45 | LV | 42 | +3 | |
| CLE | 87 | TB | 84 | +3 | |
| MIN | 100 | CHI | 100 | +0 | |
| NYJ | 3 | GB | 3 | +0 | |
| CIN | 35 | HOU | 39 | −3 | |
| IND | 16 | KC | 23 | −6 | |
| SF | 23 | MIA | 29 | −6 | |
| PHI | 19 | TEN | 32 | −13 | |
| HOU | 26 | CIN | 45 | −19 | |
| NE | 68 | PIT | 87 | −19 | |
| DAL | 71 | WAS | 94 | −23 | |
| ATL | 42 | CAR | 68 | −26 | |
| WAS | 52 | DAL | 81 | −29 | |
| DET | 55 | BUF | 90 | −35 | Line wins |
| TEN | 29 | PHI | 77 | −48 | Line wins |
| ARI | 10 | SEA | 58 | −48 | Line wins |
| CAR | 0 | ATL | 61 | −61 | Line wins |
| MIA | 6 | SF | 97 | −90 | Line wins |