Rookie Analysis

Articles

• Caleb Williams: The Year Two Leap Accuracy Didn't Build

  Caleb Williams jumped from 33rd to 19th in EPA/play while getting less accurate. I dug into where the gains came from and whether year three holds.

  By Andy Troiano · September 03, 2026

• Drake Maye's Encore: The Odds He Repeats a Monster Season

  Maye posted the best EPA/play in football and the highest CPOE on record. I pulled every elite QB season since 1999 to see what usually happens next.

  By Andy Troiano · September 01, 2026

• Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings - 2021 NFL Season

  Rookie rankings for the 2021 NFL fantasy football season. We provide insight into how we think rookies will perform and provide a range of values for what you might expect during the season.

  By Andy Troiano · June 28, 2021

• 2019 Rookie Projections - How did we do?

  In this article, we review some of the rookie projections from the 2019 season and provide our feedback on what worked and didn't work.

  By Andy Troiano · May 08, 2020

• Kyle Eller's Rookie Report

  Rookies in fantasy football are some of the hardest players to project. There is no data to really tell how they will project and perform against equal talent and now that they are getting paid. With that said, there is ALWAYS a rookie that takes the fantasy world by storm and wins multiple fantasy teams their league's championship, ala Cam Newton, Saquon Barkley, Juju Smith-Schuster. So I have a few rookies that I think will personally outplay their projections and could potentially boom.

  By Kyle Eller · August 06, 2019

• 2019 Rookie Projections

  In this article, we present our 2019 projected points for Rookies. In general, playing time is extremely hard to predict so these rankings should be considered a measure of skill vs actual points. I'd try to draft the best players on this list that have a clear path to playing time.

  By Andy Troiano · July 14, 2019