Michigan State at Michigan

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Michigan State 15, Michigan 6 on Nov 7, 2026. Against the closing line, Michigan State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, November 7, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Michigan Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Michigan -14
  • Consensus total: 40
  • Moneyline: Michigan -574 / Michigan State +425
  • Model projection (experimental): Michigan State 13.1 - Michigan 26.6; Michigan wins 81%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Michigan -13.5, total 39.5
  • Final: Michigan State 15, Michigan 6
  • Against the spread: Michigan State covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Michigan State3-61-55-3-1-2.4
Michigan5-42-43-6-010

Michigan State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 24at UCLAL10-28
Oct 17vs NorthwesternL21-24
Oct 10vs IllinoisL37-38

Michigan recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 31at RutgersW28-21
Oct 24vs IndianaL6-13
Oct 17vs Penn StateW21-18

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025Michigan StateMichigan20-31
2024MichiganMichigan State24-17
2023Michigan StateMichigan0-49
2022MichiganMichigan State29-7
2021Michigan StateMichigan37-33
2020MichiganMichigan State24-27
2019MichiganMichigan State44-10
2018Michigan StateMichigan7-21
2017MichiganMichigan State10-14
2016Michigan StateMichigan23-32

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com