No. 25 Northwestern at Michigan State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Northwestern 24, Michigan State 21 on Oct 17, 2026. Against the closing line, Michigan State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
  • Venue: Spartan Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Michigan State +7
  • Consensus total: 50
  • Moneyline: Michigan State +258 / Northwestern -322
  • Model projection (experimental): Northwestern 28.6 - Michigan State 21.2; Northwestern wins 72%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Michigan State +7.5, total 50
  • Final: Northwestern 24, Michigan State 21
  • Against the spread: Michigan State covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
No. 25 Northwestern6-43-46-4-0No. 2512.4
Michigan State3-71-65-4-1-2.4

Northwestern recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 10vs Ball StateW45-14
Oct 2vs Penn StateW34-13
Sep 25at IndianaL23-29

Michigan State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 10vs IllinoisL37-38
Oct 3at WisconsinL3-31
Sep 26vs NebraskaL13-31

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2021NorthwesternMichigan State21-38
2020Michigan StateNorthwestern29-20
2019NorthwesternMichigan State10-31
2018Michigan StateNorthwestern19-29
2017NorthwesternMichigan State39-31
2016Michigan StateNorthwestern40-54
2013NorthwesternMichigan State6-30
2012Michigan StateNorthwestern20-23
2011NorthwesternMichigan State17-31
2010NorthwesternMichigan State27-35

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com