Michigan State at Wisconsin

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Michigan State 3, Wisconsin 31 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, Wisconsin covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 12:30 PM
  • Venue: Camp Randall Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Wisconsin -9
  • Consensus total: 43
  • Moneyline: Wisconsin -381 / Michigan State +292
  • Model projection (experimental): Michigan State 16.8 - Wisconsin 27; Wisconsin wins 77%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Wisconsin -10, total 44
  • Final: Michigan State 3, Wisconsin 31
  • Against the spread: Wisconsin covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Michigan State3-71-65-4-1-2.4
Wisconsin6-44-35-5-09.1

Michigan State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs NebraskaL13-31
Sep 19at Notre DameL10-27
Sep 12vs Eastern MichiganW35-7

Wisconsin recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26at Penn StateW24-20
Sep 19vs Eastern MichiganW54-10
Sep 12vs Western IllinoisW36-9

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2022Michigan StateWisconsin34-28
2019WisconsinMichigan State38-0
2016Michigan StateWisconsin6-30
2012WisconsinMichigan State13-16
2011Michigan StateWisconsin39-42
2011Michigan StateWisconsin37-31
2010Michigan StateWisconsin34-24
2009WisconsinMichigan State38-30
2008Michigan StateWisconsin25-24
2007WisconsinMichigan State37-34

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com