Illinois at Michigan State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Illinois 38, Michigan State 37 on Oct 10, 2026. Against the closing line, Michigan State covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 10, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Spartan Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Michigan State +2.5
  • Consensus total: 48
  • Moneyline: Michigan State +135 / Illinois -157
  • Model projection (experimental): Illinois 25 - Michigan State 22.5; Illinois wins 55%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Michigan State +2.5, total 47.5
  • Final: Illinois 38, Michigan State 37
  • Against the spread: Michigan State covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Illinois6-44-36-4-08
Michigan State3-71-65-4-1-2.4

Illinois recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3vs PurdueL17-24
Sep 26at Ohio StateL19-42
Sep 19vs Southern IllinoisW48-10

Michigan State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3at WisconsinL3-31
Sep 26vs NebraskaL13-31
Sep 19at Notre DameL10-27

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024IllinoisMichigan State38-16
2022IllinoisMichigan State15-23
2019Michigan StateIllinois34-37
2016IllinoisMichigan State31-27
2013IllinoisMichigan State3-42
2010Michigan StateIllinois26-6
2009IllinoisMichigan State14-24
2006Michigan StateIllinois20-23
2005IllinoisMichigan State14-61
2004Michigan StateIllinois38-25

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com