Penn State at Michigan

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Penn State 18, Michigan 21 on Oct 17, 2026. Against the closing line, Penn State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 17, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Michigan Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Michigan -6
  • Consensus total: 43
  • Moneyline: Michigan -225 / Penn State +185
  • Model projection (experimental): Penn State 17.9 - Michigan 24.7; Michigan wins 69%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Michigan -6.5, total 42.5
  • Final: Penn State 18, Michigan 21
  • Against the spread: Penn State covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Penn State5-42-45-4-09.3
Michigan5-42-43-6-010

Penn State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 10vs USCL23-31
Oct 2at NorthwesternL13-34
Sep 26vs WisconsinL20-24

Michigan recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3at MinnesotaL14-20
Sep 26vs IowaL19-20
Sep 19vs UTEPW52-17

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2023Penn StateMichigan15-24
2022MichiganPenn State41-17
2021Penn StateMichigan17-21
2020MichiganPenn State17-27
2019Penn StateMichigan28-21
2018MichiganPenn State42-7
2017Penn StateMichigan42-13
2016MichiganPenn State49-10
2015Penn StateMichigan16-28
2014MichiganPenn State18-13

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com