No. 1 Miami at North Carolina

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Miami 38, North Carolina 35 on Oct 31, 2026. Against the closing line, North Carolina covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 31, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Kenan Stadium
  • Consensus spread: North Carolina +14
  • Consensus total: 53
  • Moneyline: North Carolina +458 / Miami -646
  • Model projection (experimental): Miami 33.8 - North Carolina 19.9; Miami wins 81%
  • Model fair line (experimental): North Carolina +14, total 53.5
  • Final: Miami 38, North Carolina 35
  • Against the spread: North Carolina covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
No. 1 Miami9-17-06-4-0No. 124
North Carolina5-52-47-3-05.3

Miami recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 24vs PittsburghW52-23
Oct 17vs Florida StateW43-35
Oct 3at ClemsonW41-13

North Carolina recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 24vs SyracuseL30-31
Oct 17at DukeW24-20
Oct 10at PittsburghW21-17

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2023North CarolinaMiami41-31
2022MiamiNorth Carolina24-27
2021North CarolinaMiami45-42
2020MiamiNorth Carolina26-62
2019North CarolinaMiami28-25
2018MiamiNorth Carolina47-10
2017North CarolinaMiami19-24
2016MiamiNorth Carolina13-20
2015North CarolinaMiami59-21
2014MiamiNorth Carolina47-20

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com