North Carolina at Duke

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

North Carolina 24, Duke 20 on Oct 17, 2026. Against the closing line, North Carolina covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 17, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Duke -3
  • Consensus total: 47
  • Moneyline: Duke -164 / North Carolina +140
  • Model projection (experimental): North Carolina 21.9 - Duke 24.7; Duke wins 57%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Duke -2.5, total 46.5
  • Final: North Carolina 24, Duke 20
  • Against the spread: North Carolina covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
North Carolina5-52-47-3-05.3
Duke7-34-38-2-013

North Carolina recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 10at PittsburghW21-17
Oct 3vs Notre DameL26-37
Sep 19at ClemsonL20-28

Duke recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 10at Georgia TechL25-28
Sep 26vs William & MaryW62-7
Sep 19vs StanfordW35-7

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025North CarolinaDuke25-32
2024DukeNorth Carolina21-20
2023North CarolinaDuke47-45
2022DukeNorth Carolina35-38
2021North CarolinaDuke38-7
2020DukeNorth Carolina24-56
2019North CarolinaDuke20-17
2018DukeNorth Carolina42-35
2017North CarolinaDuke17-27
2016DukeNorth Carolina28-27

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com