North Carolina at No. 25 Pittsburgh

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

North Carolina 21, Pittsburgh 17 on Oct 10, 2026. Against the closing line, North Carolina covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 10, 2026, 12:00 PM
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Pittsburgh -3.5
  • Consensus total: 47.5
  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh -180 / North Carolina +152
  • Model projection (experimental): North Carolina 22.1 - Pittsburgh 25.1; Pittsburgh wins 59%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Pittsburgh -3, total 47
  • Final: North Carolina 21, Pittsburgh 17
  • Against the spread: North Carolina covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
North Carolina5-52-47-3-05.3
No. 25 Pittsburgh6-43-45-5-0No. 2510.2

North Carolina recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3vs Notre DameL26-37
Sep 19at ClemsonL20-28
Sep 12vs East Tennessee StateW35-3

Pittsburgh recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 2at Virginia TechW35-33
Sep 26vs BucknellW59-0
Sep 17vs SyracuseW27-13

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024North CarolinaPittsburgh24-34
2023PittsburghNorth Carolina24-41
2022North CarolinaPittsburgh42-24
2021PittsburghNorth Carolina30-23
2019PittsburghNorth Carolina34-27
2018North CarolinaPittsburgh38-35
2017PittsburghNorth Carolina31-34
2016North CarolinaPittsburgh37-36
2015PittsburghNorth Carolina19-26
2014North CarolinaPittsburgh40-35

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com