Florida State at Louisville

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Florida State 20, Louisville 44 on Oct 9, 2026. Against the closing line, Louisville covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Friday, October 9, 2026, 7:00 PM
  • Venue: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Louisville -4
  • Consensus total: 60.5
  • Moneyline: Louisville -209 / Florida State +175
  • Model projection (experimental): Florida State 27.9 - Louisville 31.2; Louisville wins 61%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Louisville -3.5, total 59
  • Final: Florida State 20, Louisville 44
  • Against the spread: Louisville covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Florida State5-53-45-4-15.5
Louisville7-36-26-4-017.7

Florida State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3vs VirginiaW38-7
Sep 26vs Central ArkansasW34-7
Sep 19at AlabamaL36-50

Louisville recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3at NC StateL28-31
Sep 26vs Wake ForestL27-30
Sep 19vs SMUW41-31

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2023Florida StateLouisville16-6
2022LouisvilleFlorida State31-35
2021Florida StateLouisville23-31
2020LouisvilleFlorida State48-16
2019Florida StateLouisville35-24
2018LouisvilleFlorida State24-28
2017Florida StateLouisville28-31
2016LouisvilleFlorida State63-20
2015Florida StateLouisville41-21
2014LouisvilleFlorida State31-42

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com