Louisville at NC State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Louisville 28, NC State 31 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, NC State covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium
  • Consensus spread: NC State +4
  • Consensus total: 57
  • Moneyline: NC State +188 / Louisville -227
  • Model projection (experimental): Louisville 30.8 - NC State 26.8; Louisville wins 63%
  • Model fair line (experimental): NC State +4, total 57.5
  • Final: Louisville 28, NC State 31
  • Against the spread: NC State covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Louisville7-36-26-4-017.7
NC State4-62-53-7-0-2.3

Louisville recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs Wake ForestL27-30
Sep 19vs SMUW41-31
Sep 11vs VillanovaW59-13

NC State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs App StateW41-31
Sep 19at VanderbiltL31-35
Sep 11vs RichmondW73-0

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2023NC StateLouisville10-13
2022LouisvilleNC State25-10
2021NC StateLouisville28-13
2019NC StateLouisville20-34
2018LouisvilleNC State10-52
2017NC StateLouisville39-25
2016LouisvilleNC State54-13
2015NC StateLouisville13-20
2014LouisvilleNC State30-18
2011NC StateLouisville31-24

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com