Virginia at Florida State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Virginia 7, Florida State 38 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, Florida State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Florida State +1
  • Consensus total: 51.5
  • Moneyline: Florida State +106 / Virginia -124
  • Model projection (experimental): Virginia 26 - Florida State 25.1; Virginia wins 52%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Florida State +1, total 51
  • Final: Virginia 7, Florida State 38
  • Against the spread: Florida State covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Virginia5-53-44-5-12.1
Florida State5-53-45-4-15.5

Virginia recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs DelawareW42-3
Sep 19vs West VirginiaL27-38
Sep 11vs Norfolk StateW59-3

Florida State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs Central ArkansasW34-7
Sep 19at AlabamaL36-50
Sep 7vs SMUL24-27

Head-to-head (last 8 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025VirginiaFlorida State46-38
2019VirginiaFlorida State31-24
2014Florida StateVirginia34-20
2011Florida StateVirginia13-14
2010VirginiaFlorida State14-34
2006Florida StateVirginia33-0
2005VirginiaFlorida State26-21
2004Florida StateVirginia36-3

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com