Buffalo at Toledo

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Buffalo 23, Toledo 8 on Oct 10, 2026. Against the closing line, Buffalo covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 10, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Glass Bowl
  • Consensus spread: Toledo -19
  • Consensus total: 55
  • Moneyline: Toledo -1148 / Buffalo +700
  • Model projection (experimental): Buffalo 17.5 - Toledo 38.3; Toledo wins 90%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Toledo -21, total 56
  • Final: Buffalo 23, Toledo 8
  • Against the spread: Buffalo covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Buffalo7-35-16-4-0-11.1
Toledo8-25-15-4-12.7

Buffalo recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3vs Western MichiganL17-20
Sep 26vs Robert MorrisW31-28
Sep 19at Penn StateL13-55

Toledo recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3at Ball StateW39-24
Sep 26vs San Diego StateW41-16
Sep 19vs TempleW49-48

Head-to-head (last 9 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024BuffaloToledo30-15
2023ToledoBuffalo31-13
2022BuffaloToledo34-27
2019BuffaloToledo49-30
2018ToledoBuffalo17-31
2013ToledoBuffalo51-41
2012BuffaloToledo20-25
2007BuffaloToledo43-33
2005ToledoBuffalo38-15

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com