Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
San Diego State 16, Toledo 41 on Sep 26, 2026. Against the closing line, Toledo covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
Kickoff (ET): Saturday, September 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Venue: Glass Bowl
Consensus spread: Toledo -3
Consensus total: 50.5
Moneyline: Toledo -141 / San Diego State +120
Model projection (experimental): San Diego State 24.5 - Toledo 27.3; Toledo wins 58%
Model fair line (experimental): Toledo -3, total 52