Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
San Diego State at Toledo on Sep 26, 2026. The consensus line is Toledo -3, total 52.0. Experimental model projection: San Diego State 24.6, Toledo 27.2. Best prices across regulated sportsbooks, fair lines and each team's form.
Game details
Kickoff (ET): Saturday, September 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Venue: Glass Bowl
Consensus spread: Toledo -3
Consensus total: 52
Moneyline: Toledo -144 / San Diego State +122
Model projection (experimental): San Diego State 24.6 - Toledo 27.2; Toledo wins 56%
Model fair line (experimental): Toledo -2.5, total 52