Toledo at Ball State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Toledo 39, Ball State 24 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, Ball State covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 2:00 PM
  • Venue: Scheumann Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Ball State +21
  • Consensus total: 52
  • Moneyline: Ball State +775 / Toledo -1375
  • Model projection (experimental): Toledo 35.8 - Ball State 15.4; Toledo wins 89%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Ball State +20.5, total 51
  • Final: Toledo 39, Ball State 24
  • Against the spread: Ball State covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Toledo8-25-15-4-12.7
Ball State3-72-46-4-0-19.5

Toledo recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs San Diego StateW41-16
Sep 19vs TempleW49-48
Sep 12vs Central ConnecticutW63-10

Ball State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26at Kent StateL13-26
Sep 19at LibertyL15-51
Sep 12vs Stony BrookW41-17

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025ToledoBall State38-9
2023Ball StateToledo6-13
2022ToledoBall State28-21
2021Ball StateToledo12-22
2020ToledoBall State24-27
2019Ball StateToledo52-14
2018ToledoBall State45-13
2017Ball StateToledo17-58
2016ToledoBall State37-19
2015Ball StateToledo10-24

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com