Western Michigan at Buffalo

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, Buffalo covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 1:00 PM
  • Venue: UB Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Buffalo +13
  • Consensus total: 46
  • Moneyline: Buffalo +425 / Western Michigan -587
  • Model projection (experimental): Western Michigan 30 - Buffalo 17.4; Western Michigan wins 80%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Buffalo +12.5, total 47.5
  • Final: Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17
  • Against the spread: Buffalo covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Western Michigan7-35-14-6-0-0.9
Buffalo7-35-16-4-0-11.1

Western Michigan recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs Boise StateL7-32
Sep 19at RiceW28-21
Sep 12vs MonmouthW49-14

Buffalo recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs Robert MorrisW31-28
Sep 19at Penn StateL13-55
Sep 12at Florida InternationalL20-33

Head-to-head (last 9 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024BuffaloWestern Michigan41-48
2021BuffaloWestern Michigan17-24
2017BuffaloWestern Michigan68-71
2016Western MichiganBuffalo38-0
2013Western MichiganBuffalo0-33
2012BuffaloWestern Michigan29-24
2009Western MichiganBuffalo34-31
2008BuffaloWestern Michigan28-34
2005Western MichiganBuffalo31-21

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com