Louisville at North Carolina

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Louisville 16, North Carolina 14 on Nov 14, 2026. Against the closing line, North Carolina covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, November 14, 2026, 7:00 PM
  • Venue: Kenan Stadium
  • Consensus spread: North Carolina +3.5
  • Consensus total: 57.5
  • Moneyline: North Carolina +141 / Louisville -167
  • Model projection (experimental): Louisville 30.5 - North Carolina 27.1; Louisville wins 61%
  • Model fair line (experimental): North Carolina +3.5, total 57.5
  • Final: Louisville 16, North Carolina 14
  • Against the spread: North Carolina covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Louisville7-36-26-4-017.7
North Carolina5-52-47-3-05.3

Louisville recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 7at Georgia TechW44-17
Oct 31vs StanfordW52-24
Oct 17at SyracuseW34-26

North Carolina recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 7at UConnW38-21
Oct 31vs MiamiL35-38
Oct 24vs SyracuseL30-31

Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2017North CarolinaLouisville35-47
2012LouisvilleNorth Carolina39-34
2011North CarolinaLouisville14-7
2005LouisvilleNorth Carolina69-14
2004North CarolinaLouisville0-34

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com