Duke at Virginia

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Duke 19, Virginia 16 on Oct 23, 2026. Against the closing line, Duke covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Friday, October 23, 2026, 7:00 PM
  • Venue: Scott Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Virginia -2.5
  • Consensus total: 47
  • Moneyline: Virginia -124 / Duke +105
  • Model projection (experimental): Duke 22.1 - Virginia 24.6; Virginia wins 56%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Virginia -2.5, total 46.5
  • Final: Duke 19, Virginia 16
  • Against the spread: Duke covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Duke7-34-38-2-013
Virginia5-53-44-5-12.1

Duke recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 17vs North CarolinaL20-24
Oct 10at Georgia TechL25-28
Sep 26vs William & MaryW62-7

Virginia recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 17at SMUL13-23
Oct 10vs SyracuseW28-25
Oct 3at Florida StateL7-38

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025VirginiaDuke20-27
2025DukeVirginia17-34
2023VirginiaDuke30-27
2022DukeVirginia38-17
2021VirginiaDuke48-0
2020VirginiaDuke38-20
2019VirginiaDuke48-14
2018DukeVirginia14-28
2017VirginiaDuke28-21
2016DukeVirginia20-34

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com