Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Virginia 13, SMU 23 on Oct 17, 2026. Against the closing line, the spread pushed; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Consensus spread: SMU -10
Consensus total: 52
Moneyline: SMU -344 / Virginia +275
Model projection (experimental): Virginia 20.6 - SMU 30.7; SMU wins 77%
Model fair line (experimental): SMU -10, total 51.5