Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Missouri State 24, SMU 34 on Sep 26, 2026. Against the closing line, Missouri State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
Kickoff (ET): Saturday, September 26, 2026, 9:00 PM
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Consensus spread: SMU -30.5
Consensus total: 60.5
Moneyline: SMU -9000 / Missouri State +2500
Model projection (experimental): Missouri State 12.8 - SMU 46.5; SMU wins 98%
Model fair line (experimental): SMU -33.5, total 59.5