Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Western Kentucky 42, Middle Tennessee 51 on Nov 7, 2026. Against the closing line, Middle Tennessee covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, November 7, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Middle Tennessee +2
  • Consensus total: 53
  • Moneyline: Middle Tennessee +102 / Western Kentucky -120
  • Model projection (experimental): Western Kentucky 28.2 - Middle Tennessee 25.4; Western Kentucky wins 57%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Middle Tennessee +3, total 53.5
  • Final: Western Kentucky 42, Middle Tennessee 51
  • Against the spread: Middle Tennessee covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Western Kentucky3-62-34-5-0-13.7
Middle Tennessee5-43-26-3-0-14.5

Western Kentucky recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 27vs DelawareL21-35
Oct 14at Sam HoustonW16-3
Oct 8vs Missouri StateW34-13

Middle Tennessee recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 28vs Kennesaw StateL28-44
Oct 20at Florida InternationalW26-23
Oct 13vs DelawareW33-30

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee42-26
2024Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky21-49
2023Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee31-10
2022Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky17-35
2021Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee48-21
2020Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky17-20
2019Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee31-26
2018Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky29-10
2017Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee41-38
2016Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky43-44

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com