Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Missouri State 13, Western Kentucky 34 on Oct 8, 2026. Against the closing line, Western Kentucky covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
Kickoff (ET): Thursday, October 8, 2026, 7:00 PM
Venue: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Consensus spread: Western Kentucky +2
Consensus total: 57
Moneyline: Western Kentucky -112 / Missouri State -104
Model projection (experimental): Missouri State 27.7 - Western Kentucky 28.6; Western Kentucky wins 52%
Model fair line (experimental): Western Kentucky -1, total 56