Toledo at Sacramento State
Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Toledo 20, Sacramento State 17 on Nov 4, 2026. Against the closing line, Sacramento State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
- Kickoff (ET): Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 7:00 PM
- Venue: Hornet Stadium
- Consensus spread: Sacramento State +25.5
- Consensus total: 52.5
- Moneyline: Sacramento State +1300 / Toledo -2897
- Model projection (experimental): Toledo 38.9 - Sacramento State 13.8; Toledo wins 94%
- Model fair line (experimental): Sacramento State +25, total 52.5
- Final: Toledo 20, Sacramento State 17
- Against the spread: Sacramento State covered
- Total: Under
Team comparison
| Team | Record | Conf | ATS | AP | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 8-2 | 5-1 | 5-4-1 | 2.7 | |
| Sacramento State | 2-9 | 1-7 | 4-7-0 | -24.9 |
Toledo recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | vs Western Michigan | W | 45-38 |
| Oct 17 | at Eastern Michigan | W | 34-14 |
| Oct 10 | vs Buffalo | L | 8-23 |
Sacramento State recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | vs Kent State | W | 31-10 |
| Oct 24 | at Ball State | L | 17-34 |
| Oct 17 | vs Ohio | L | 7-48 |
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com