Texas State at San Diego State
Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Texas State 29, San Diego State 31 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, San Diego State covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
- Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 10:30 PM
- Venue: Snapdragon Stadium
- Consensus spread: San Diego State +10
- Consensus total: 57.5
- Moneyline: San Diego State +225 / Texas State -243
- Model projection (experimental): Texas State 33.6 - San Diego State 23.9; Texas State wins 76%
- Model fair line (experimental): San Diego State +9.5, total 57.5
- Final: Texas State 29, San Diego State 31
- Against the spread: San Diego State covered
- Total: Over
Team comparison
| Team | Record | Conf | ATS | AP | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 6-4 | 4-2 | 5-5-0 | 5.8 | |
| San Diego State | 5-5 | 4-2 | 4-6-0 | -8.4 |
Texas State recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word | W | 63-10 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Texas | W | 49-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs UTSA | L | 26-31 |
San Diego State recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | at Toledo | L | 16-41 |
| Sep 19 | vs James Madison | L | 13-26 |
| Sep 12 | at UCLA | L | 10-28 |
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com