Mississippi State at No. 11 Texas

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Mississippi State 3, Texas 31 on Oct 31, 2026. Against the closing line, Texas covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 31, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Texas -20
  • Consensus total: 50.5
  • Moneyline: Texas -1543 / Mississippi State +825
  • Model projection (experimental): Mississippi State 14.8 - Texas 35.5; Texas wins 89%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Texas -20.5, total 50.5
  • Final: Mississippi State 3, Texas 31
  • Against the spread: Texas covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Mississippi State4-62-64-6-03.8
No. 11 Texas8-25-25-5-0No. 1123.5

Mississippi State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 24vs OklahomaL15-23
Oct 17at LSUL0-31
Oct 3vs AlabamaL23-56

Texas recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 24vs Ole MissW34-27
Oct 17vs FloridaL24-27
Oct 10at OklahomaL24-27

Head-to-head (last 2 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025Mississippi StateTexas38-45
2024TexasMississippi State35-13

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com