No. 7 Alabama at No. 16 Mississippi State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Alabama 56, Mississippi State 23 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, Alabama covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM
  • Venue: Davis Wade Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Mississippi State +5.5
  • Consensus total: 62
  • Moneyline: Mississippi State +180 / Alabama -217
  • Model projection (experimental): Alabama 33.5 - Mississippi State 27.3; Alabama wins 67%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Mississippi State +6, total 61
  • Final: Alabama 56, Mississippi State 23
  • Against the spread: Alabama covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
No. 7 Alabama8-26-25-5-0No. 722.7
No. 16 Mississippi State4-62-64-6-0No. 163.8

Alabama recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs South CarolinaW49-18
Sep 19vs Florida StateW50-36
Sep 12at KentuckyW45-17

Mississippi State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs MissouriW31-24
Sep 19at South CarolinaW41-34
Sep 12at MinnesotaW38-13

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2023Mississippi StateAlabama17-40
2022AlabamaMississippi State30-6
2021Mississippi StateAlabama9-49
2020AlabamaMississippi State41-0
2019Mississippi StateAlabama7-38
2018AlabamaMississippi State24-0
2017Mississippi StateAlabama24-31
2016AlabamaMississippi State51-3
2015Mississippi StateAlabama6-31
2014AlabamaMississippi State25-20

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com