Middle Tennessee at Liberty

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Middle Tennessee 23, Liberty 28 on Nov 14, 2026. Against the closing line, Middle Tennessee covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, November 14, 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Williams Stadium (VA)
  • Consensus spread: Liberty -22
  • Consensus total: 53.5
  • Moneyline: Liberty -1894 / Middle Tennessee +1000
  • Model projection (experimental): Middle Tennessee 15.9 - Liberty 38.2; Liberty wins 91%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Liberty -22.5, total 54
  • Final: Middle Tennessee 23, Liberty 28
  • Against the spread: Middle Tennessee covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Middle Tennessee5-53-37-3-0-14.5
Liberty9-16-07-3-015

Middle Tennessee recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 7vs Western KentuckyW51-42
Oct 28vs Kennesaw StateL28-44
Oct 20at Florida InternationalW26-23

Liberty recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 7at New Mexico StateW30-14
Oct 31vs Florida InternationalW49-10
Oct 22at Kennesaw StateW34-6

Head-to-head (last 3 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024Middle TennesseeLiberty17-37
2023LibertyMiddle Tennessee42-35
2021LibertyMiddle Tennessee41-13

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com