Memphis at South Florida

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Memphis 52, South Florida 41 on Nov 12, 2026. Against the closing line, Memphis covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Thursday, November 12, 2026, 8:00 PM
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium
  • Consensus spread: South Florida +5
  • Consensus total: 51
  • Moneyline: South Florida +175 / Memphis -209
  • Model projection (experimental): Memphis 26.8 - South Florida 23.9; Memphis wins 58%
  • Model fair line (experimental): South Florida +3, total 50.5
  • Final: Memphis 52, South Florida 41
  • Against the spread: Memphis covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Memphis8-25-16-4-09.6
South Florida6-42-44-6-04

Memphis recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 31vs ArmyW49-22
Oct 22vs East CarolinaW41-34
Oct 16at TulaneL17-31

South Florida recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 6at East CarolinaL17-20
Oct 31vs UABW30-10
Oct 17vs Kent StateW29-2

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025MemphisSouth Florida34-31
2024South FloridaMemphis3-21
2023MemphisSouth Florida59-50
2020MemphisSouth Florida34-33
2019South FloridaMemphis10-49
2016MemphisSouth Florida42-49
2015South FloridaMemphis17-24
2014MemphisSouth Florida31-20
2013South FloridaMemphis10-23
2008South FloridaMemphis41-14

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com