South Florida at East Carolina

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

South Florida 17, East Carolina 20 on Nov 6, 2026. Against the closing line, East Carolina covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Friday, November 6, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
  • Consensus spread: East Carolina -2
  • Consensus total: 39
  • Moneyline: East Carolina -120 / South Florida +100
  • Model projection (experimental): South Florida 18.7 - East Carolina 20.9; East Carolina wins 55%
  • Model fair line (experimental): East Carolina -2.5, total 39.5
  • Final: South Florida 17, East Carolina 20
  • Against the spread: East Carolina covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
South Florida6-42-44-6-04
East Carolina6-44-25-5-0-2.8

South Florida recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 31vs UABW30-10
Oct 17vs Kent StateW29-2
Oct 8at UTSAL24-31

East Carolina recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 31vs TempleW17-9
Oct 22at MemphisL34-41
Oct 15at UABL17-30

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2022South FloridaEast Carolina28-48
2021East CarolinaSouth Florida29-14
2020South FloridaEast Carolina24-44
2019East CarolinaSouth Florida20-45
2018South FloridaEast Carolina20-13
2017East CarolinaSouth Florida31-61
2016South FloridaEast Carolina38-22
2015East CarolinaSouth Florida17-22
2014South FloridaEast Carolina17-28
2006East CarolinaSouth Florida7-24

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com