Massachusetts at Toledo

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Massachusetts 0, Toledo 24 on Nov 11, 2026. Against the closing line, Toledo covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Glass Bowl
  • Consensus spread: Toledo -14
  • Consensus total: 52
  • Moneyline: Toledo -624 / Massachusetts +458
  • Model projection (experimental): Massachusetts 19 - Toledo 33.2; Toledo wins 82%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Toledo -14, total 52
  • Final: Massachusetts 0, Toledo 24
  • Against the spread: Toledo covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Massachusetts5-52-44-6-0-8.8
Toledo8-25-15-4-12.7

Massachusetts recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 4vs Ball StateW31-30
Oct 23at UConnL16-35
Oct 17at BuffaloL18-25

Toledo recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 4at Sacramento StateW20-17
Oct 24vs Western MichiganW45-38
Oct 17at Eastern MichiganW34-14

Head-to-head (last 6 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024ToledoMassachusetts38-23
2023MassachusettsToledo24-41
2022ToledoMassachusetts55-10
2021MassachusettsToledo7-45
2015MassachusettsToledo35-51
2014ToledoMassachusetts42-35

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com