College Football Week 1 Predictions & Odds (2026)

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Every college football game in week 1 of the 2026 season with the consensus spread and total, an experimental model projection, and results against the spread once games are final.

Week 1 games

MatchupKickoff (ET)SpreadTotalModel projection (experimental)Final
North Carolina vs TCUSat Aug 29, 12:00 PMTCU -7.546North Carolina 15, TCU 10
San José State at No. 14 USCSat Aug 29, 3:00 PMUSC -3761San José State 26, USC 42
NC State at VirginiaSat Aug 29, 3:30 PMVirginia -450.5NC State 8, Virginia 34
Jacksonville State at North Dakota StateSat Aug 29, 5:30 PMNorth Dakota State -746.5Jacksonville State 7, North Dakota State 33
Sacramento State at Eastern MichiganSat Aug 29, 6:30 PMEastern Michigan -953Sacramento State 17, Eastern Michigan 28
Hawai'i at StanfordSat Aug 29, 7:00 PMStanford -548.5Hawai'i 27, Stanford 37
New Mexico State at Florida StateSat Aug 29, 7:00 PMFlorida State -3153.5New Mexico State 17, Florida State 34
Memphis at UNLVSat Aug 29, 10:00 PMUNLV -555.5Memphis 27, UNLV 21
Massachusetts at RutgersThu Sep 3, 6:00 PMRutgers -2955Massachusetts 37, Rutgers 21
Bethune-Cookman at UCFThu Sep 3, 7:00 PMUCF -43.558.5Bethune-Cookman 6, UCF 73
Akron at Wake ForestThu Sep 3, 7:00 PMWake Forest -27.550.5Akron 16, Wake Forest 38
Merrimack at DelawareThu Sep 3, 7:00 PMDelaware -31.556.5Merrimack 7, Delaware 42
West Georgia at Kennesaw StateThu Sep 3, 7:00 PMKennesaw State -22.550.5West Georgia 0, Kennesaw State 47
UAlbany at BuffaloThu Sep 3, 7:00 PMBuffalo -18.547.5UAlbany 17, Buffalo 21
Arkansas-Pine Bluff at No. 25 MissouriThu Sep 3, 8:00 PMMissouri -55.562.5Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14, Missouri 54
Colorado at Georgia TechThu Sep 3, 8:00 PMGeorgia Tech -6.553Colorado 14, Georgia Tech 13
Eastern Illinois at MinnesotaThu Sep 3, 8:00 PMMinnesota -42.552.5Eastern Illinois 7, Minnesota 59
Idaho at No. 21 UtahThu Sep 3, 9:00 PMUtah -38.560.5Idaho 14, Utah 66
UAB at IllinoisThu Sep 3, 9:00 PMIllinois -2654UAB 23, Illinois 42
San José State at Eastern MichiganFri Sep 4, 6:30 PMEastern Michigan -1.555San José State 27, Eastern Michigan 21
Indiana State at PurdueFri Sep 4, 7:00 PMPurdue -35.556Indiana State 19, Purdue 44
North Carolina A&T at Georgia StateFri Sep 4, 7:00 PMGeorgia State -2860North Carolina A&T 10, Georgia State 59
UTEP at No. 10 OklahomaFri Sep 4, 8:00 PMOklahoma -4151UTEP 0, Oklahoma 51
Long Island University at KansasFri Sep 4, 8:00 PMKansas -4356Long Island University 6, Kansas 51
Toledo at Michigan StateFri Sep 4, 8:00 PMMichigan State -1048.5Toledo 20, Michigan State 30
No. 7 Miami at StanfordFri Sep 4, 9:00 PMStanford +24.546.5Miami 45, Stanford 6
Fresno State at No. 14 USCFri Sep 4, 9:00 PMUSC -2251Fresno State 0, USC 39
East Carolina at No. 13 AlabamaSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMAlabama -2852.5East Carolina 10, Alabama 48
Oregon State at No. 23 HoustonSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMHouston -2150.5Oregon State 20, Houston 33
Coastal Carolina at West VirginiaSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMWest Virginia -2154.5Coastal Carolina 24, West Virginia 31
New Hampshire at SyracuseSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMSyracuse -3556New Hampshire 3, Syracuse 66
North Texas at No. 6 IndianaSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMIndiana -4057North Texas 16, Indiana 52
Ohio at NebraskaSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMNebraska -2447Ohio 21, Nebraska 49
Lafayette at UConnSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMUConn -20.551.5Lafayette 7, UConn 56
Bryant at ArmySat Sep 5, 12:00 PMArmy -3751Bryant 3, Army 59
Tarleton State at Bowling GreenSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMBowling Green -249Tarleton State 20, Bowling Green 13
Liberty at James MadisonSat Sep 5, 12:00 PMJames Madison -650.5Liberty 13, James Madison 20
Miami (OH) at PittsburghSat Sep 5, 12:30 PMPittsburgh -1647Miami (OH) 14, Pittsburgh 59
Ball State at No. 1 Ohio StateSat Sep 5, 12:30 PMOhio State -5156Ball State 3, Ohio State 56
Kent State at South CarolinaSat Sep 5, 12:45 PMSouth Carolina -3653Kent State 0, South Carolina 57
Youngstown State at KentuckySat Sep 5, 1:00 PMKentucky -2262Youngstown State 13, Kentucky 45
Southeast Missouri State at Iowa StateSat Sep 5, 1:00 PMIowa State -29.552.5Southeast Missouri State 10, Iowa State 38
Duquesne at Air ForceSat Sep 5, 1:00 PMAir Force -3056.5Duquesne 0, Air Force 34
Rhode Island at TempleSat Sep 5, 2:00 PMTemple -14.551Rhode Island 14, Temple 38
Tennessee State at No. 3 GeorgiaSat Sep 5, 3:00 PMGeorgia -4955Tennessee State 3, Georgia 63
Baylor vs AuburnSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMAuburn -6.558.5Baylor 16, Auburn 17
Furman at No. 20 TennesseeSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMTennessee -4966.5Furman 9, Tennessee 56
Texas State at No. 5 TexasSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMTexas -29.561Texas State 7, Texas 59
Boston College at CincinnatiSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMCincinnati -751Boston College 15, Cincinnati 34
Tulane at DukeSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMDuke -951Tulane 3, Duke 17
Boise State at No. 2 OregonSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMOregon -2552.5Boise State 27, Oregon 34
Marshall at No. 18 Penn StateSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMPenn State -2353Marshall 0, Penn State 45
The Citadel at CharlotteSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMCharlotte -20.549The Citadel 43, Charlotte 41
Towson at NavySat Sep 5, 3:30 PMNavy -3150.5Towson 15, Navy 42
UT Rio Grande Valley at UTSASat Sep 5, 3:30 PMUTSA -28.559.5UT Rio Grande Valley 16, UTSA 45
Fordham at North Dakota StateSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMNorth Dakota State -41.554Fordham 0, North Dakota State 38
Maine at App StateSat Sep 5, 3:30 PMApp State -2154Maine 3, App State 55
Oklahoma State at TulsaSat Sep 5, 3:45 PMTulsa +1357.5Oklahoma State 10, Tulsa 24
North Alabama at ArkansasSat Sep 5, 4:15 PMArkansas -40.563North Alabama 14, Arkansas 31
Northern Illinois at No. 22 IowaSat Sep 5, 4:15 PMIowa -3244.5Northern Illinois 0, Iowa 40
Alcorn State at Southern MissSat Sep 5, 5:00 PMSouthern Miss -2051Alcorn State 3, Southern Miss 49
Wyoming at Colorado StateSat Sep 5, 6:00 PMColorado State -346Wyoming 13, Colorado State 35
Norfolk State at Old DominionSat Sep 5, 6:00 PMOld Dominion -4152Norfolk State 10, Old Dominion 31
Missouri State at No. 8 Texas A&MSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMTexas A&M -39.553.5Missouri State 0, Texas A&M 50
Austin Peay at VanderbiltSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMVanderbilt -2958Austin Peay 9, Vanderbilt 28
Abilene Christian at No. 12 Texas TechSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMTexas Tech -4561Abilene Christian 10, Texas Tech 33
Nicholls at Kansas StateSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMKansas State -4155Nicholls 3, Kansas State 71
Idaho State at Utah StateSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMUtah State -1560Idaho State 29, Utah State 17
Arkansas State at MemphisSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMMemphis -10.552Arkansas State 24, Memphis 42
Houston Christian at RiceSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMRice -2347.5Houston Christian 3, Rice 31
Florida International at South FloridaSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMSouth Florida -14.553Florida International 9, South Florida 19
Murray State at Middle TennesseeSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMMiddle Tennessee -22.556Murray State 14, Middle Tennessee 38
Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville StateSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMJacksonville State -2252Eastern Kentucky 7, Jacksonville State 49
Charleston Southern at Georgia SouthernSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMGeorgia Southern -2852Charleston Southern 0, Georgia Southern 31
SE Louisiana at South AlabamaSat Sep 5, 7:00 PMSouth Alabama -1453.5SE Louisiana 14, South Alabama 39
Sam Houston at TroySat Sep 5, 7:00 PMTroy -1653Sam Houston 21, Troy 24
Clemson at No. 11 LSUSat Sep 5, 7:30 PMLSU -1049Clemson 10, LSU 51
UL Monroe at Mississippi StateSat Sep 5, 7:30 PMMississippi State -28.555UL Monroe 13, Mississippi State 62
VMI at Virginia TechSat Sep 5, 7:30 PMVirginia Tech -54.561VMI 3, Virginia Tech 73
Western Michigan at No. 16 MichiganSat Sep 5, 7:30 PMMichigan -27.550Western Michigan 12, Michigan 13
Northwestern State at Louisiana TechSat Sep 5, 7:30 PMLouisiana Tech -44.556.5Northwestern State 6, Louisiana Tech 80
Florida Atlantic at FloridaSat Sep 5, 7:45 PMFlorida -26.559.5Florida Atlantic 21, Florida 66
Utah Tech at No. 14 BYUSat Sep 5, 8:00 PMBYU -5061Utah Tech 7, BYU 63
Hampton at MarylandSat Sep 5, 8:00 PMMaryland -45.556Hampton 0, Maryland 62
South Dakota State at NorthwesternSat Sep 5, 8:00 PMNorthwestern -1349South Dakota State 18, Northwestern 34
Lamar at LouisianaSat Sep 5, 8:00 PMLouisiana -2048.5Lamar 7, Louisiana 38
Mercyhurst at New Mexico StateSat Sep 5, 9:00 PMNew Mexico State -2952Mercyhurst 14, New Mexico State 51
Northern Arizona at ArizonaSat Sep 5, 9:30 PMArizona -32.559Northern Arizona 7, Arizona 35
Portland State at San Diego StateSat Sep 5, 9:30 PMSan Diego State -39.562Portland State 20, San Diego State 53
Morgan State at Arizona StateSat Sep 5, 10:00 PMArizona State -4452.5Morgan State 7, Arizona State 70
UNLV at Hawai'iSat Sep 5, 10:00 PMHawai'i +355.5UNLV 21, Hawai'i 6
Central Michigan at New MexicoSat Sep 5, 10:00 PMNew Mexico -1147Central Michigan 7, New Mexico 38
Mississippi Valley State at Sacramento StateSat Sep 5, 10:00 PMSacramento State -38.556.5Mississippi Valley State 0, Sacramento State 52
UCLA at CaliforniaSat Sep 5, 10:30 PMCalifornia +2.553.5UCLA 45, California 24
Western Kentucky at NevadaSat Sep 5, 10:30 PMNevada PK51.5Western Kentucky 14, Nevada 49
Washington State at No. 17 WashingtonSun Sep 6, 4:00 PMWashington -2351Washington State 10, Washington 24
No. 24 Louisville vs No. 9 Ole MissSun Sep 6, 7:30 PMOle Miss -6.555Louisville 38, Ole Miss 41
Wisconsin vs No. 4 Notre DameSun Sep 6, 7:30 PMNotre Dame -2146Wisconsin 13, Notre Dame 41
No. 19 SMU at Florida StateMon Sep 7, 7:30 PMFlorida State +353.5SMU 27, Florida State 24

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com