UCF at No. 20 Houston

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

UCF 17, Houston 27 on Oct 3, 2026. Against the closing line, UCF covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM
  • Venue: TDECU Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Houston -10.5
  • Consensus total: 51
  • Moneyline: Houston -437 / UCF +332
  • Model projection (experimental): UCF 19.9 - Houston 31; Houston wins 78%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Houston -11, total 51
  • Final: UCF 17, Houston 27
  • Against the spread: UCF covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
UCF5-53-46-4-01.3
No. 20 Houston7-34-33-7-0No. 2014.1

UCF recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26vs TCUW21-13
Sep 19vs Georgia StateW44-30
Sep 12at PittsburghL7-12

Houston recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Sep 26at Georgia SouthernW42-28
Sep 18at Texas TechL26-28
Sep 12vs SouthernW77-6

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025UCFHouston27-30
2023UCFHouston27-13
2020HoustonUCF21-44
2019UCFHouston44-29
2016HoustonUCF31-24
2015UCFHouston10-59
2014HoustonUCF12-17
2013UCFHouston19-14
2010HoustonUCF33-40
2009UCFHouston37-32

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com