South Alabama at Arkansas State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

South Alabama 56, Arkansas State 49 on Oct 8, 2026. Against the closing line, South Alabama covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Thursday, October 8, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Arkansas State -3
  • Consensus total: 60
  • Moneyline: Arkansas State -135 / South Alabama +116
  • Model projection (experimental): South Alabama 28.8 - Arkansas State 31.2; Arkansas State wins 55%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Arkansas State -2.5, total 60
  • Final: South Alabama 56, Arkansas State 49
  • Against the spread: South Alabama covered
  • Total: Over

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
South Alabama5-53-36-4-0-12.3
Arkansas State4-62-44-6-0-7

South Alabama recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3vs UL MonroeW52-35
Sep 26at KentuckyL21-45
Sep 19vs OhioW41-36

Arkansas State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Oct 3at LouisianaL20-23
Sep 26vs Kennesaw StateW17-14
Sep 19at TCUL7-31

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2025South AlabamaArkansas State14-15
2024Arkansas StateSouth Alabama18-16
2023South AlabamaArkansas State21-14
2022Arkansas StateSouth Alabama3-31
2021South AlabamaArkansas State31-13
2020Arkansas StateSouth Alabama31-38
2019South AlabamaArkansas State34-30
2018Arkansas StateSouth Alabama38-14
2017South AlabamaArkansas State24-19
2016Arkansas StateSouth Alabama17-7

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com