Fresno State at Texas State
Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Fresno State 35, Texas State 37 on Nov 14, 2026. Against the closing line, Fresno State covered; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
- Kickoff (ET): Saturday, November 14, 2026, 4:00 PM
- Venue: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Consensus spread: Texas State -11
- Consensus total: 60
- Moneyline: Texas State -401 / Fresno State +312
- Model projection (experimental): Fresno State 24.4 - Texas State 34.9; Texas State wins 78%
- Model fair line (experimental): Texas State -10.5, total 59.5
- Final: Fresno State 35, Texas State 37
- Against the spread: Fresno State covered
- Total: Over
Team comparison
| Team | Record | Conf | ATS | AP | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 5-5 | 2-4 | 7-3-0 | 4.9 | |
| Texas State | 6-4 | 4-2 | 5-5-0 | 5.8 |
Fresno State recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | at Utah State | L | 10-17 |
| Oct 31 | vs Oregon State | W | 38-22 |
| Oct 17 | at San Diego State | L | 23-26 |
Texas State recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | at Oregon State | W | 42-21 |
| Oct 31 | at Boise State | L | 45-46 |
| Oct 24 | vs Utah State | W | 20-17 |
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com