Buffalo at Ball State

Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Buffalo 28, Ball State 7 on Nov 11, 2026. Against the closing line, Buffalo covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.

Game details

  • Kickoff (ET): Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Scheumann Stadium
  • Consensus spread: Ball State +1
  • Consensus total: 53
  • Moneyline: Ball State +105 / Buffalo -123
  • Model projection (experimental): Buffalo 26.8 - Ball State 24.9; Buffalo wins 54%
  • Model fair line (experimental): Ball State +2, total 51.5
  • Final: Buffalo 28, Ball State 7
  • Against the spread: Buffalo covered
  • Total: Under

Team comparison

TeamRecordConfATSAPSP+
Buffalo7-35-16-4-0-11.1
Ball State3-72-46-4-0-19.5

Buffalo recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 3at Miami (OH)W34-31
Oct 24vs Bowling GreenW31-24
Oct 17vs MassachusettsW25-18

Ball State recent games

DateOpponentResultScore
Nov 4at MassachusettsL30-31
Oct 24vs Sacramento StateW34-17
Oct 17at Bowling GreenW32-31

Head-to-head (last 10 meetings)

SeasonHomeAwayScore
2024BuffaloBall State51-48
2021Ball StateBuffalo20-3
2020BuffaloBall State28-38
2017Ball StateBuffalo24-40
2016BuffaloBall State21-31
2011Ball StateBuffalo28-25
2010BuffaloBall State3-20
2008BuffaloBall State42-24
2007Ball StateBuffalo49-14
2006BuffaloBall State25-55

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com