Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Arkansas State 23, Southern Miss 13 on Oct 17, 2026. Against the closing line, Arkansas State covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 17, 2026, 7:00 PM
Venue: M. M. Roberts Stadium
Consensus spread: Southern Miss +6
Consensus total: 62
Moneyline: Southern Miss +202 / Arkansas State -243
Model projection (experimental): Arkansas State 34.6 - Southern Miss 28; Arkansas State wins 68%
Model fair line (experimental): Southern Miss +6.5, total 62.5