David's NFL Week 13 Black Friday Betting Picks & Predictions (with Units)
The GridironAI Betting Model has locked in its top value plays for Week 13 of the NFL season. Using advanced analytics, player performance trends, and line-movement data, these are David's best bets for this week.
David does the research and uses our models so you don't have to.
Week 13 Black Friday Picks
| Pick | Opponent | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears +7 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 8U |
| Pick | Line | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Bears / Eagles Over 44 | Game Total | 2U |
If you've been reading my blog for the past few weeks, I have said several teams that I think the Eagles are a fraud. Their team stats really don't align with their team record of 8-3. On the flipside, it's not like the Bears reflect a normal 8-3 team either. The seem to do just enough each week to squeak out a win. It's impressive that they have an 8-3 record with a -3 point differential. They have won 8 of their last 9 games, but none of those have been against playoff bound teams. The Eagles are much more battle tested. The Bears offense ranks #6 overall, and #2 on the ground. The Eagles are 20th and worse in both categories. Their defense is also middle of the pack against both the past and run. That has been the weakness for the Bears, who rank 6th to last on defense. Given 2 defenses that are underwhelming, and a Bears offense that can put up numbers, I can easily see why the GridironAI team scoring model projects 51 points, implying nice value on the Over 44. Turnovers could be a huge factor in this game. The Bears rank #1 in Turnovers Margin, at +16, and the Eagles are 6th at +6. The other area that will have a large impact on this game is in the redzone. The Eagles offense ranks #1 in redzone effiency, and their defense ranks #3. Chicago's offense ranks #16, and their defense ranks #25. Based on the stats, this should be a very close game. 7 points is way too many, even with the Eagles at home. 100% of the new GridironAI spread models like the Bears to cover with the 7 points. Although only 3 weeks into productionalized testing, when 80% or more of the models like a team to cover, those picks are 11-2. The 3 picks when there was 100% model consensus, have all been winners.
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All odds current as of publication. Make sure you shop around at different sports books to get the best odds and line to maximize your return. Always wager responsibly.