Week 11 SNF Picks
| Pick | Opponent | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions Moneyline | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 7.5U |
Analysis
When the Eagles and Packers played on Monday night last week, I had a long writeup about why the Eagles are so overvalued. Nothing has changed. Now they are playing the Lions, who have a more potent offense, and great balance on the ground and in the air. The Eagles are favored simply because they are at home, and Jared Goff has shown that he struggles outdoors, especially in colder weather. As I said in more detail last week, despite being 7-2, I'm still not a believer in this Eagles team. They are middle of the pack on defense against both the run and the pass, and bottom 10 on offense, both running and passing. Yes, they are great in redzone, which is the only thing that is keeping them with a winning record. They have a +26 point differential, with 5 more wins than losses. I think this Lions team will expose the Eagles for the frauds that they are. The GridironaAI models all love the Lions in this game. The Moneyline model has them with a 54% chance to win. So +130, that is huge value. The spread model gives the Lions a 62% chance to cover with 2.5 points. The team total models has a score prediction of 24-23 in favor of the Lions.
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