David's NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football Betting Picks & Predictions (with Units)
The GridironAI Betting Model has locked in its top value plays for Week 11 of the NFL season. Using advanced analytics, player performance trends, and line-movement data, these are David's best bets for this week.
David does the research and uses our models so you don't have to.
Week 11 MNF Picks
| Pick | Opponent | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 | vs Dallas Cowboys | 2U |
| Pick | Line | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders / Cowboys Under 49.5 | Game Total | 2U |
Game Analysis
This Raider offense has really struggled, and is bottom 3 in the league. They have yet to score more than 24 points during regulation this season, and have been held to single digits 4 times. 2 of those games were when they were missing their star TE, Brock Bowers, who is now back and healthy. Playing the 31st ranked Cowboys defense might just be the recipe that they need in order to score double digits in this game. One of the Raiders biggest issues is their QB, Geno Smith. He has 12 interceptions in 9 games, second most behind Tua, who has 13, but in 11 games. On the other side of the ball, the Dallas the offense was high flying through their first 7 games, they have come back to earth in their last 2 games, scoring 24 and 17 points. Dallas's high scoring affairs have been at home, and/or against teams like the Commanders and Giants, who both rank in the bottom 5 defenses in the league. The Raiders defense is middle of the pack. I think Dallas's offensive struggles will continue today against the Raider defense, and the Raiders offense should be able to must some points against this bad Dallas defense. The GridironAI models likes the Raiders to cover at 57%. The Team Total model projects 42 points, which implies value on the Under 49.5.
GridironAI Edge
Our AI model simulates each matchup 10,000+ times to uncover hidden value versus market odds.
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All odds current as of publication. Make sure you shop around at different sports books to get the best odds and line to maximize your return. Always wager responsibly.