NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 9 2021

By Andy Troiano · November 04, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.84 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.16 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.50 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.50 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.76 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.24 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.42 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.58 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.44 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.56 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.41 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.59 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.69 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.31 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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