NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 3 2021

By Andy Troiano · September 23, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.34 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.66 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.78 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.22 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.75 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.25 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.69 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.31 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.57 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.43 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.55 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.45 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.57 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.43 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.52 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.48 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.65 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.35 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.28 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.72 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.29 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.71 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.42 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.58 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.54 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.46 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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