This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks; we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.
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Current Limitations
Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:
- Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
- A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.
2020 Performance Recap
In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.
You can find our records on NFLPickWatch
Money Line Predictions
<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.59 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.41 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.55 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.45 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.75 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.25 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.68 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.32 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.82 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.18 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.58 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.42 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.28 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.72 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.30 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.70 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.48 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.52 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.30 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.70 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.26 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.74 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.35 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.65 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>Questions/Feedback
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