NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 1 2021

By Andy Troiano · September 09, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks; we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.
2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions For Week 1 2021

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.68 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.32 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.64 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.36 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.57 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.43 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.82 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.18 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.66 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.34 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.35 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.65 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.22 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.78 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.45 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.55 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.20 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.80 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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