NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 18 2021

By Andy Troiano · January 07, 2022

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.74 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.26 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.74 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.26 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.84 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.16 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.57 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.43 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.18 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.82 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.34 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.66 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.22 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.78 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.25 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.75 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.34 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.66 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.33 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.67 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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