NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 17 2021

By Andy Troiano · December 29, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.71 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.29 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.52 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.48 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.58 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.42 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.81 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.19 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.72 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.28 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.58 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.42 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.89 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.11 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.53 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.47 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.80 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.20 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .9 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.96 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.04 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.82 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.18 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.39 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.61 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.82 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.18 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.68 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.32 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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