NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 16 2021

By Andy Troiano · December 22, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.43 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.57 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.61 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.39 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.86 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.14 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .9 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.91 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.09 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.37 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.63 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.41 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.59 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.34 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.66 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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