NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 15 2021

By Andy Troiano · December 16, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.46 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.54 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.77 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.23 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.58 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.42 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.75 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.25 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.88 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.12 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.77 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.23 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.86 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.14 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.43 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.57 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.20 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.80 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.25 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.75 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .9 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.92 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.08 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.54 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.46 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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