NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 14 2021

By Andy Troiano · December 09, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.67 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.33 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.69 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.31 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.68 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.32 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.61 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.39 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.78 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.22 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.40 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.37 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.63 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.36 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.64 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.31 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.69 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.29 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.71 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.69 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.31 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.68 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.32 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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