NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 11 2021

By Andy Troiano · November 18, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

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Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.22 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.78 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.78 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.22 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.80 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.20 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.66 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.34 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Houston Texans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .9 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.92 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.08 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.65 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.35 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cincinnati Bengals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.80 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.20 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.24 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.76 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chicago Bears </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.36 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.64 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.39 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.61 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.31 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.69 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.48 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.52 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.39 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.61 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.45 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.55 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Giants </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.88 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.12 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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